CS Herediano 2-1 Santos de Guapiles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 22 Feb 2024

📅22/02/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.32
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
71%
-7.3pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.0pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.95/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.00
-13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Herediano
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.11.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 3-0 HT 3-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
17.09.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-1 HT 0-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
10.04.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-1 HT 2-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
08.02.2023 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 1-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
21.08.2022 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-2 HT 1-1 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
10.08.2022 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-1 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Herediano
2-1
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
POST-MATCH CS Herediano vs Santos de Guapiles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Herediano squeezed past Santos de Guapiles 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CS Herediano as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CS Herediano had 70% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 30%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Herediano had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CS Herediano and 1.00 for Santos de Guapiles.

What was the final score of CS Herediano vs Santos de Guapiles?

CS Herediano 2-1 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Herediano vs Santos de Guapiles?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Herediano win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split CS Herediano 64%, draw 19%, Santos de Guapiles 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Herediano), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CS Herediano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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22 Feb 2024
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