Floriana 4-0 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.0
Over 2.5
40%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.27
No
64%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
73%
-11.1pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.4pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
46%
+13.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
54%
-13.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.2pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 12%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.83/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.97
+5% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +78%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Mosta
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Mosta Mosta 0-3 HT 0-2 Floriana Floriana MLTP
12.02.2023 Mosta Mosta 2-0 HT 1-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
08.10.2022 Floriana Floriana 1-1 HT 1-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
12.02.2022 Floriana Floriana 2-0 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
23.10.2021 Mosta Mosta 1-1 HT 0-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floriana
4-0
AWAY Mosta
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana swept aside Mosta 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Floriana had 59% of the ball to Mosta's 41%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Floriana had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Floriana and 0.80 for Mosta.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Mosta?

Floriana 4-0 Mosta in the Malta - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Floriana 62%, draw 23%, Mosta 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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