Gzira United 0-1 Hamrun Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
54%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
36%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+5.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
54%
Away Win
63%
-8.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gzira United EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 67%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +17%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/0.48
+43% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
253 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gzira United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 2-1 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
11.03.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
30.10.2022 Gzira United Gzira United 1-2 HT 1-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
24.04.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 2-0 HT 1-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
05.02.2022 Gzira United Gzira United 4-1 HT 0-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
16.10.2021 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 0-1 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gzira United
0-1
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gzira United vs Hamrun Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans squeezed past Gzira United 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gzira United had 58% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 42%, shots finished 8-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gzira United and 1.33 for Hamrun Spartans.

What was the final score of Gzira United vs Hamrun Spartans?

Gzira United 0-1 Hamrun Spartans in the Malta - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gzira United vs Hamrun Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 21%, draw 25%, Hamrun Spartans 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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