Karacabey Belediye Spor 4-1 Ankaraspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.27
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
22%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
40%
+9.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
22%
Away Win
30%
-7.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ankaraspor EU Bookmakers 33%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.75/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.38
+36% / +131% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ankaraspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
03.12.2023 Ankaraspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
4-1
AWAY Ankaraspor
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Ankaraspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karacabey Belediye Spor ran out comfortable winners over Ankaraspor 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karacabey Belediye Spor as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Karacabey Belediye Spor had 49% of the ball to Ankaraspor's 51%, shots finished 13-4.

What was the final score of Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Ankaraspor?

Karacabey Belediye Spor 4-1 Ankaraspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Ankaraspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karacabey Belediye Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Karacabey Belediye Spor 49%, draw 29%, Ankaraspor 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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