Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 4-0 Nazilli Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.47
Draw
34%
4.34
Away
16%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-13.7pp
34%
Draw
20%
+14.3pp
17%
Away Win
17%
-0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 21%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
2.01/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.39
+12% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.12.2023 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 1-4 HT 0-2 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
4-0
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu vs Nazilli Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu swept aside Nazilli Belediyespor 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu had 63% of the ball to Nazilli Belediyespor's 37%, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 4-0 Nazilli Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 50%, draw 34%, Nazilli Belediyespor 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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