Bistrica 1-1 Ajdovscina Skou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.3pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bistrica EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajdovscina Skou EU Bookmakers 46%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.78/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.03
-44% / +134% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bistrica
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Ajdovscina Skou
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2023 Ajdovscina Skou 2-2 HT 0-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
04.03.2023 Ajdovscina Skou 2-0 HT 2-0 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
20.08.2022 Bistrica Bistrica 0-0 HT 0-0 Ajdovscina Skou SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bistrica
1-1
AWAY Ajdovscina Skou
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bistrica vs Ajdovscina Skou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bistrica and Ajdovscina Skou couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ajdovscina Skou at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bistrica had 36% of the ball to Ajdovscina Skou's 64%, shots finished 7-19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ajdovscina Skou led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bistrica and 1.33 for Ajdovscina Skou.

What was the final score of Bistrica vs Ajdovscina Skou?

Bistrica 1-1 Ajdovscina Skou in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bistrica vs Ajdovscina Skou?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajdovscina Skou win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bistrica 32%, draw 27%, Ajdovscina Skou 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ajdovscina Skou), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajdovscina Skou) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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