Ilirija 3-1 Fuzinar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.1pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilirija EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuzinar EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -11%
1.19/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.11
-27% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilirija
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Fuzinar
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
23.09.2023 Fuzinar Fuzinar 3-2 HT 1-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
05.04.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 1-1 HT 1-1 Fuzinar Fuzinar SLVN2
04.09.2022 Fuzinar Fuzinar 0-4 HT 0-1 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
27.11.2021 Ilirija Ilirija 4-2 HT 0-1 Fuzinar Fuzinar SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilirija
3-1
AWAY Fuzinar
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ilirija vs Fuzinar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilirija got the better of Fuzinar 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Ilirija found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ilirija had 48% of the ball to Fuzinar's 52%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ilirija had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Ilirija and 1.50 for Fuzinar.

What was the final score of Ilirija vs Fuzinar?

Ilirija 3-1 Fuzinar in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilirija vs Fuzinar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fuzinar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ilirija 37%, draw 24%, Fuzinar 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fuzinar), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fuzinar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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