AS Marsa 2-1 Ben Guerdane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
26%
2.77
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.38
Over 2.5
44%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.96
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
15%
6.88
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+7.0pp
26%
Draw
32%
-6.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
69%
-12.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
31%
+12.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Marsa EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ben Guerdane EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Marsa
2-1
AWAY Ben Guerdane
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AS Marsa vs Ben Guerdane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Marsa nicked a narrow win over Ben Guerdane 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; AS Marsa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AS Marsa had 52% of the ball to Ben Guerdane's 48%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of AS Marsa vs Ben Guerdane?

AS Marsa 2-1 Ben Guerdane in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Marsa vs Ben Guerdane?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Marsa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AS Marsa 38%, draw 26%, Ben Guerdane 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Marsa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AS Marsa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TUN More Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme
13 Apr 2024
17:00 ES Metlaoui vs AS Slimane Analysis →
19:30 Club Africain vs Stade Tunisien Analysis →
19:30 CS Sfaxien vs Etoile Du Sahel Analysis →