ES Metlaoui 1-0 AS Slimane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.57
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.8pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Slimane EU Bookmakers 26%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.58/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.13
-47% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Metlaoui
1W-3D-2L
AWAY AS Slimane
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2023 AS Slimane AS Slimane 2-0 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN
19.03.2023 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-0 HT 0-0 AS Slimane AS Slimane TUN
02.02.2023 AS Slimane AS Slimane 1-1 HT 0-1 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1B
03.11.2022 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-0 HT 0-0 AS Slimane AS Slimane TUN1B
14.03.2021 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 2-1 HT 1-0 AS Slimane AS Slimane TUN1
30.12.2020 AS Slimane AS Slimane 1-0 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
POST-MATCH ES Metlaoui vs AS Slimane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Metlaoui nicked a narrow win over AS Slimane 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ES Metlaoui as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AS Slimane led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ES Metlaoui and 0.83 for AS Slimane.

What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs AS Slimane?

ES Metlaoui 1-0 AS Slimane in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs AS Slimane?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Metlaoui win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 46%, draw 30%, AS Slimane 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Metlaoui), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ES Metlaoui) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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