Charlotte Independence 1-0 Greenville Triumph — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 13 Apr 2024

Charlotte Independence
1-0 HT 0-0
Greenville Triumph
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2024

Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
16%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-6.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Charlotte Independence v Greenville Triumph — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 45%
+21% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +10%
1.60/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.27
+31% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
18.2 Crosses 20.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte Independence
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.66 xG 1.46
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 Passes 326
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 3-2 HT 0-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
06.08.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 3-2 HT 2-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
20.07.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-0 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
04.05.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-3 HT 0-2 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
09.10.2022 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
10.09.2022 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 2-1 HT 1-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1

Charlotte Independence 1-0 Greenville Triumph — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte Independence
1-0
AWAY Greenville Triumph
0.49 xG 1.96
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
246 Passes 504
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 31
9 Crosses 31
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte Independence squeezed past Greenville Triumph 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Charlotte Independence found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Charlotte Independence had 36% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 64%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 0.49 to 1.96 — on chances, Greenville Triumph could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Charlotte Independence and 1.67 for Greenville Triumph.

What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph?

Charlotte Independence 1-0 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 36%, draw 30%, Greenville Triumph 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte Independence) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte Independence) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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