Barbastro 1-0 UD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
36%
3.04
Away
31%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
65%
Over
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.4
No Pick
66%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
41%
2-3
36%
4-5
17%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.2pp
36%
Draw
30%
+6.3pp
31%
Away Win
41%
-10.5pp
34%
BTTS Yes
38%
-3.1pp
66%
BTTS No
62%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barbastro EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -16%
1.09/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.99
+5% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
260 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barbastro
0W-2D-1L
AWAY UD Logrones
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 UD Logrones UD Logrones 3-0 HT 2-0 Barbastro Barbastro İS4
21.01.2024 UD Logrones UD Logrones 0-0 HT 0-0 Barbastro Barbastro İS4
09.09.2023 Barbastro Barbastro 0-0 HT 0-0 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS4
POST-MATCH Barbastro vs UD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barbastro squeezed past UD Logrones 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 36% / 31%) promised a tight game; Barbastro found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, UD Logrones led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Barbastro and 1.00 for UD Logrones.

What was the final score of Barbastro vs UD Logrones?

Barbastro 1-0 UD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barbastro vs UD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Barbastro 33%, draw 36%, UD Logrones 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
13 Apr 2025
12:00 Mostoles vs Atlético Paso Analysis →
12:30 Subiza vs Deportivo Alaves II Analysis →
12:30 Getafe II vs Melilla Analysis →
13:00 Tenerife II vs Colonia Moscardo Analysis →
13:00 Deportiva Minera vs Xerez Deportivo Analysis →
13:00 Villanovense vs Linense Analysis →