Mostoles 4-1 Atlético Paso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.56
Over 2.5
49%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
60%
-9.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
40%
+9.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.8pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostoles EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 19%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -26%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.64
+83% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mostoles
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Atlético Paso
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2024 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 1-3 HT 1-1 Mostoles İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostoles
4-1
AWAY Atlético Paso
59% Ball Possession 41%
26 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mostoles vs Atlético Paso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mostoles swept aside Atlético Paso 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mostoles as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Mostoles had 59% of the ball to Atlético Paso's 41%, shots finished 26-9.

What was the final score of Mostoles vs Atlético Paso?

Mostoles 4-1 Atlético Paso in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostoles vs Atlético Paso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mostoles win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Mostoles 55%, draw 26%, Atlético Paso 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mostoles) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mostoles) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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