Atlético Paso 1-3 Mostoles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostoles EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -21%
1.14/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.76
-19% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
351 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlético Paso
1-3
AWAY Mostoles
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atlético Paso vs Mostoles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mostoles saw off Atlético Paso 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atlético Paso at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atlético Paso had 52% of the ball to Mostoles's 48%, shots finished 6-13.

What was the final score of Atlético Paso vs Mostoles?

Atlético Paso 1-3 Mostoles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlético Paso vs Mostoles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlético Paso win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Atlético Paso 47%, draw 27%, Mostoles 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atlético Paso) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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