CD Guadalajara 2-0 Navalcarnero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.4pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.82/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.91
+30% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +33%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 183 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Guadalajara
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Navalcarnero
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
14.04.2024 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 3-1 HT 3-1 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
03.12.2023 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 3-2 HT 2-1 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
18.02.2023 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 1-1 HT 1-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
02.10.2022 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 0-2 HT 0-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
2-0
AWAY Navalcarnero
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara got the better of Navalcarnero 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 41% of the ball to Navalcarnero's 59%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, CD Guadalajara had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for CD Guadalajara and 1.50 for Navalcarnero.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero?

CD Guadalajara 2-0 Navalcarnero in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 47%, draw 25%, Navalcarnero 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Guadalajara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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