Real Madrid III 4-1 Union Sur Yaiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Sur Yaiza EU Bookmakers 24%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.48/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.62
-5% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid III
4-1
AWAY Union Sur Yaiza
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Madrid III vs Union Sur Yaiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid III swept aside Union Sur Yaiza 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Madrid III as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Real Madrid III had 41% of the ball to Union Sur Yaiza's 59%, shots finished 17-20.

What was the final score of Real Madrid III vs Union Sur Yaiza?

Real Madrid III 4-1 Union Sur Yaiza in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid III vs Union Sur Yaiza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid III win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid III 46%, draw 27%, Union Sur Yaiza 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid III) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid III) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
1 Dec 2024
13:30 Melilla vs Getafe II Analysis →
14:00 CD Guadalajara vs Navalcarnero Analysis →
14:00 Union Adarve vs Rayo Majadahonda Analysis →
14:00 Atlético Paso vs Mostoles Analysis →
14:00 SS Reyes vs Conquense Analysis →
14:00 Linense vs Villanovense Analysis →