Stuttgart 1-2 Werder Bremen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 13 Apr 2025

Stuttgart
1-2 HT 1-1
Werder Bremen
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.43
Over 2.5
63%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.1
2-3 Goals
35%
1.98
4-5 Goals
29%
2.68
6+ Goals
16%
6.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.22
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
4%
13.6
X/1
14%
4.65
X/2
7%
9.33
X/X
14%
6.38
2/1
9%
19.7
2/2
12%
6.4
2/X
7%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.8pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stuttgart v Werder Bremen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
2.04/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.60
+13% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
407 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
21.4 Crosses 17.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Werder Bremen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.83 xG 0.90
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
485 Passes 328
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.11.2024 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-2 HT 1-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
21.04.2024 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-1 HT 1-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
02.12.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-0 HT 1-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
05.02.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 0-2 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
13.08.2022 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-2 HT 1-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
04.04.2021 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-0 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1

Stuttgart 1-2 Werder Bremen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart
1-2
AWAY Werder Bremen
1.67 xG 1.48
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
385 Passes 424
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen edged past Stuttgart 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Stuttgart at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Stuttgart had 48% of the ball to Werder Bremen's 52%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.67 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stuttgart and 1.33 for Werder Bremen.

What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

Stuttgart 1-2 Werder Bremen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 48%, draw 26%, Werder Bremen 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stuttgart) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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