Jahn Regensburg 2-0 Schalke 04 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
43%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.78
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 33% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.27
1/2
6%
22.45
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
12%
8.5
X/2
14%
4.62
X/X
10%
5.28
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
23%
2.45
2/X
12%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-7.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.5pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 55%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.21/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.82
-31% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
247 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
19.3 Crosses 22.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jahn Regensburg
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Schalke 04
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.69 xG 1.77
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
269 Passes 398
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 2-0 HT 1-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
05.02.2022 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 2-1 HT 0-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
21.08.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 4-1 HT 1-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jahn Regensburg
2-0
AWAY Schalke 04
0.95 xG 0.84
29% Ball Possession 71%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 8
110 Passes 384
56% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jahn Regensburg vs Schalke 04
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jahn Regensburg got the better of Schalke 04 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Schalke 04 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jahn Regensburg had 29% of the ball to Schalke 04's 71%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.95 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Schalke 04 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Jahn Regensburg and 1.67 for Schalke 04.

What was the final score of Jahn Regensburg vs Schalke 04?

Jahn Regensburg 2-0 Schalke 04 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jahn Regensburg vs Schalke 04?

Before kick-off our model rated an Schalke 04 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jahn Regensburg 30%, draw 27%, Schalke 04 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Schalke 04) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Schalke 04) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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