Hoffenheim (K) 5-2 RB Leipzig (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-5.8pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.5pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.76/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.74
-46% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.9
19.6 Crosses 13.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.59 xG 2.46
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
361 Passes 323
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) 3-1 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim (K)
5-2
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
1.84 xG 0.75
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 0
497 Passes 283
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim (K) ran out comfortable winners over RB Leipzig (K) 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hoffenheim (K) as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hoffenheim (K) had 62% of the ball to RB Leipzig (K)'s 38%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.84 to 0.75.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Hoffenheim (K) 5-2 RB Leipzig (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim (K) 57%, draw 21%, RB Leipzig (K) 22%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALKB More Germany - Women's Bundesliga
13 Apr 2025
15:00 Freiburg (K) vs Wolfsburg (K) Analysis →