Freiburg (K) 1-1 Wolfsburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
7.18
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
51%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
11%
+17.8pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.1pp
51%
Away Win
71%
-19.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -23%
0.89/2.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/0.91
+150% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -27%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
241 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 83%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.6
12.3 Crosses 27.1
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Wolfsburg (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
1.06 xG 3.78
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 12
7 Corners 6
248 Passes 359
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 44
22 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB
13.04.2024 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) 1-4 HT 0-3 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg (K)
1-1
AWAY Wolfsburg (K)
1.39 xG 1.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
274 Passes 314
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Freiburg (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg (K) and Wolfsburg (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Wolfsburg (K) at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Freiburg (K) had 48% of the ball to Wolfsburg (K)'s 52%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.39 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Freiburg (K) and 3.50 for Wolfsburg (K).

What was the final score of Freiburg (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Freiburg (K) 1-1 Wolfsburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Freiburg (K) 29%, draw 20%, Wolfsburg (K) 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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