Holstein Kiel II 1-3 Todesfelde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.5pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Todesfelde EU Bookmakers 22%
-10% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.36/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/2.53
-36% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -28%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
416 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Todesfelde
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
06.10.2024 Todesfelde 0-3 HT 0-2 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel II vs Todesfelde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Todesfelde saw off Holstein Kiel II 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Holstein Kiel II at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel II vs Todesfelde?

Holstein Kiel II 1-3 Todesfelde in the Germany - Regional League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel II vs Todesfelde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holstein Kiel II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel II 53%, draw 26%, Todesfelde 21%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holstein Kiel II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holstein Kiel II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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