Fortuna Düsseldorf II 3-1 Paderborn 07 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-9.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.1pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 49%
-8% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.94/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.45/1.86
-31% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Paderborn 07 II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 7
19.10.2024 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II 1-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
09.12.2023 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II 1-3 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
05.08.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-2 HT 0-0 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Paderborn 07 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf II saw off Paderborn 07 II 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Fortuna Düsseldorf II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf II and 1.33 for Paderborn 07 II.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Paderborn 07 II?

Fortuna Düsseldorf II 3-1 Paderborn 07 II in the Germany - Regional League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Paderborn 07 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf II 36%, draw 29%, Paderborn 07 II 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/29/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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