Paderborn 07 II 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+16.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-16.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-14.6pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II EU Bookmakers 26%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +30%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.13
+1% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +51%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn 07 II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 6
09.12.2023 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II 1-3 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
05.08.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-2 HT 0-0 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Paderborn 07 II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn 07 II and Fortuna Düsseldorf II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Paderborn 07 II at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Paderborn 07 II and 1.50 for Fortuna Düsseldorf II.

What was the final score of Paderborn 07 II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

Paderborn 07 II 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II in the Germany - Regional League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paderborn 07 II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn 07 II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 07 II 51%, draw 26%, Fortuna Düsseldorf II 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Paderborn 07 II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paderborn 07 II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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