Almirante Brown 1-1 Gimnasia Mendoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.29
No
65%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.8pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.5pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.3pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.64/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.66
-31% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
243 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almirante Brown
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
11.08.2024 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
25.03.2024 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
08.08.2023 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 4-1 HT 2-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
01.04.2023 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-1 HT 0-1 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
09.04.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
26.09.2021 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 3-3 HT 2-2 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almirante Brown vs Gimnasia Mendoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almirante Brown and Gimnasia Mendoza shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnasia Mendoza at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Mendoza led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Almirante Brown and 1.67 for Gimnasia Mendoza.

What was the final score of Almirante Brown vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Almirante Brown 1-1 Gimnasia Mendoza in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almirante Brown vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Almirante Brown 29%, draw 30%, Gimnasia Mendoza 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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