Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 Almirante Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.61
Draw
37%
3.45
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.67
No
53%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
58%
-15.3pp
37%
Draw
26%
+11.1pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
33%
+13.8pp
53%
BTTS No
67%
-13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
1.81/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.99
+33% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
317 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Almirante Brown
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
25.03.2024 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
08.08.2023 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 4-1 HT 2-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
01.04.2023 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-1 HT 0-1 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
09.04.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
26.09.2021 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 3-3 HT 2-2 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
16.05.2021 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-2 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs Almirante Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza edged past Almirante Brown 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gimnasia Mendoza as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Mendoza had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gimnasia Mendoza and 0.83 for Almirante Brown.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Almirante Brown?

Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 Almirante Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Almirante Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 43%, draw 37%, Almirante Brown 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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