Almagro 1-1 San Telmo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
33%
2.66
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.44
No
59%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
25%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.7pp
33%
Draw
34%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.7pp
59%
BTTS No
63%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almagro EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY San Telmo EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.77/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.03
-22% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almagro
3W-0D-3L
AWAY San Telmo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
23.03.2024 San Telmo San Telmo 4-1 HT 1-1 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
05.08.2023 Almagro Almagro 2-0 HT 1-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
02.04.2023 San Telmo San Telmo 3-2 HT 2-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
30.05.2022 Almagro Almagro 2-1 HT 0-1 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
01.10.2021 San Telmo San Telmo 2-1 HT 1-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
11.06.2021 Almagro Almagro 1-0 HT 1-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almagro vs San Telmo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almagro and San Telmo shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Almagro and 1.67 for San Telmo.

What was the final score of Almagro vs San Telmo?

Almagro 1-1 San Telmo in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almagro vs San Telmo?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Telmo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Almagro 31%, draw 33%, San Telmo 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Telmo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Telmo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
11 Aug 2024
01:00 Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu Analysis →
21:00 Alvarado vs Atletico Aldosivi Analysis →
21:00 Guillermo Brown vs Quilmes Analysis →
21:00 Brown De Adrogue vs Atletico Rafaela Analysis →
21:00 Nueva Chicago vs Atletico Atlanta Analysis →
21:00 Defensores De Belgrano vs Chaco For Ever Analysis →