Nueva Chicago 0-1 Atletico Atlanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
47%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.0pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -20%
1.13/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.25
-9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nueva Chicago
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico Atlanta
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
26.03.2024 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
16.05.2022 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
02.08.2021 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
08.03.2020 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 2-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Nueva Chicago vs Atletico Atlanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Atlanta squeezed past Nueva Chicago 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nueva Chicago at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nueva Chicago had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nueva Chicago and 0.50 for Atletico Atlanta.

What was the final score of Nueva Chicago vs Atletico Atlanta?

Nueva Chicago 0-1 Atletico Atlanta in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Chicago vs Atletico Atlanta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nueva Chicago win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Nueva Chicago 51%, draw 26%, Atletico Atlanta 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nueva Chicago) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nueva Chicago) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
11 Aug 2024
01:00 Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu Analysis →
21:00 Alvarado vs Atletico Aldosivi Analysis →
21:00 Almagro vs San Telmo Analysis →
21:00 Guillermo Brown vs Quilmes Analysis →
21:00 Brown De Adrogue vs Atletico Rafaela Analysis →
21:00 Defensores De Belgrano vs Chaco For Ever Analysis →