Tristan Suarez 1-2 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.32/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.05
+3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tristan Suarez
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
23.03.2024 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-0 HT 0-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
09.07.2023 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 3-2 HT 3-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
04.03.2023 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 0-4 HT 0-4 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
17.05.2022 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-1 HT 1-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu edged past Tristan Suarez 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tristan Suarez at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maipu led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Tristan Suarez and 2.25 for Deportivo Maipu.

What was the final score of Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu?

Tristan Suarez 1-2 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tristan Suarez win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tristan Suarez 47%, draw 29%, Deportivo Maipu 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tristan Suarez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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