Alvarado 1-0 Atletico Aldosivi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 11 Aug 2024

Alvarado
1-0 HT 1-0
Atletico Aldosivi
📅11/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Alvarado vs Atletico Aldosivi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.38
Over 2.5
38%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.0pp
31%
Draw
33%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
69%
-6.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
31%
+6.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alvarado v Atletico Aldosivi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvarado EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.97/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.44
-1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +120%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards –

Alvarado vs Atletico Aldosivi Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvarado
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Atletico Aldosivi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
23.03.2024 Atletico Aldosivi Atletico Aldosivi 0-0 HT 0-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Alvarado vs Atletico Aldosivi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvarado edged past Atletico Aldosivi 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Alvarado found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Alvarado vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Alvarado 1-0 Atletico Aldosivi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvarado vs Atletico Aldosivi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Aldosivi win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alvarado 32%, draw 31%, Atletico Aldosivi 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Aldosivi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
11 Aug 2024
01:00 Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu Analysis →
21:00 Almagro vs San Telmo Analysis →
21:00 Guillermo Brown vs Quilmes Analysis →
21:00 Brown De Adrogue vs Atletico Rafaela Analysis →
21:00 Nueva Chicago vs Atletico Atlanta Analysis →
21:00 Defensores De Belgrano vs Chaco For Ever Analysis →