Guillermo Brown 1-2 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-4.8pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-5.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+5.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.1pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +11%
0.91/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.03
-15% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guillermo Brown
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Quilmes
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
23.03.2024 Quilmes Quilmes 1-0 HT 0-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
02.05.2022 Quilmes Quilmes 1-0 HT 0-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Guillermo Brown vs Quilmes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes edged past Guillermo Brown 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (30% / 33% / 36%) promised a tight game; Quilmes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Quilmes led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Guillermo Brown and 1.00 for Quilmes.

What was the final score of Guillermo Brown vs Quilmes?

Guillermo Brown 1-2 Quilmes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guillermo Brown vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Guillermo Brown 30%, draw 33%, Quilmes 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Quilmes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Quilmes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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