Quilmes 1-0 Guillermo Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒23:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.75
No
63%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-13.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
32%
+4.7pp
63%
BTTS No
68%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quilmes EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.17/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.41
-19% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quilmes
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Guillermo Brown
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
02.05.2022 Quilmes Quilmes 1-0 HT 0-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Quilmes
1-0
AWAY Guillermo Brown
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 6
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Quilmes vs Guillermo Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes nicked a narrow win over Guillermo Brown 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Quilmes as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Quilmes had 62% of the ball to Guillermo Brown's 38%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Quilmes vs Guillermo Brown?

Quilmes 1-0 Guillermo Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quilmes vs Guillermo Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 50%, draw 27%, Guillermo Brown 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Quilmes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Quilmes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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