Brown De Adrogue 1-0 Atletico Rafaela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
36%
2.7
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.36
Over 2.5
26%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.33
No
66%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.3pp
36%
Draw
33%
+2.7pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.6pp
74%
Under 2.5
70%
+4.0pp
26%
Over 2.5
30%
-4.1pp
34%
BTTS Yes
39%
-4.7pp
66%
BTTS No
61%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brown De Adrogue EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +10%
1.01/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.04
-12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brown De Adrogue
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Atletico Rafaela
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
26.03.2024 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 0-0 HT 0-0 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBN
06.08.2023 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 0-0 HT 0-0 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBN
03.04.2023 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
17.07.2022 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 1-0 HT 0-0 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBN
15.11.2021 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
18.07.2021 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 2-0 HT 1-0 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Brown De Adrogue vs Atletico Rafaela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brown De Adrogue edged past Atletico Rafaela 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 36% / 31% — and on the day Brown De Adrogue made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Rafaela led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Brown De Adrogue and 0.83 for Atletico Rafaela.

What was the final score of Brown De Adrogue vs Atletico Rafaela?

Brown De Adrogue 1-0 Atletico Rafaela in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brown De Adrogue vs Atletico Rafaela?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Brown De Adrogue 33%, draw 36%, Atletico Rafaela 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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