Niva Dolbizno 2-1 Orsha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
33%
2.33
Over Pick
67%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1
15%
2-3
44%
4-5
29%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
66%
-1.1pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.8pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.9pp
33%
Under 2.5
39%
-5.8pp
67%
Over 2.5
61%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niva Dolbizno EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Orsha EU Bookmakers 18%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
2.72/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/2.21
+18% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
426 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niva Dolbizno
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Orsha
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
17.08.2024 Niva Dolbizno Niva Dolbizno 1-1 HT 1-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
25.11.2023 Niva Dolbizno Niva Dolbizno 3-1 HT 2-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
06.08.2023 Orsha Orsha 1-1 HT 1-1 Niva Dolbizno Niva Dolbizno BLR1
POST-MATCH Niva Dolbizno vs Orsha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niva Dolbizno edged past Orsha 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Niva Dolbizno as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Niva Dolbizno had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Niva Dolbizno and 1.00 for Orsha.

What was the final score of Niva Dolbizno vs Orsha?

Niva Dolbizno 2-1 Orsha in the Belarus - 1st Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niva Dolbizno vs Orsha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niva Dolbizno win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Niva Dolbizno 65%, draw 18%, Orsha 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Niva Dolbizno), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Niva Dolbizno) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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