FC Minsk 3-2 FC Molodechno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.62
Over
52%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No Pick
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2.45
2-3
41%
1.74
4-5
23%
4.44
6+
12%
24.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
58%
-10.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
42%
+10.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Molodechno EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+4% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Minsk
3-2
AWAY FC Molodechno
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Minsk vs FC Molodechno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Minsk edged past FC Molodechno 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Minsk as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, FC Minsk had 46% of the ball to FC Molodechno's 54%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of FC Minsk vs FC Molodechno?

FC Minsk 3-2 FC Molodechno in the Belarus - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Minsk vs FC Molodechno?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Minsk 45%, draw 26%, FC Molodechno 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Minsk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Minsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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