Dinamo Brest 2-0 Smorgon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.82
Over
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No Pick
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.05
2-3
38%
1.75
4-5
25%
3.55
6+
10%
14.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-13.1pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.2pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Brest EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Smorgon EU Bookmakers 15%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
2.62/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.61
+28% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -25%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
436 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Brest
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Smorgon
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.08.2024 Smorgon Smorgon 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
29.03.2024 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 4-1 HT 3-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
26.11.2023 Smorgon Smorgon 3-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
02.07.2023 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 2-1 HT 1-1 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
07.11.2021 Smorgon Smorgon 1-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
18.06.2021 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 2-2 HT 1-1 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Brest
2-0
AWAY Smorgon
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Brest vs Smorgon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Brest beat Smorgon 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Brest as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dinamo Brest had 53% of the ball to Smorgon's 47%, shots finished 15-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Brest had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dinamo Brest and 1.33 for Smorgon.

What was the final score of Dinamo Brest vs Smorgon?

Dinamo Brest 2-0 Smorgon in the Belarus - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Brest vs Smorgon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Brest 55%, draw 25%, Smorgon 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Brest), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Brest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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