Smorgon 0-2 Dinamo Brest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
45%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
45%
Away Win
54%
-8.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smorgon EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Brest EU Bookmakers 58%
+9% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.17/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.75
+27% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smorgon
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Brest
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 4-1 HT 3-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
26.11.2023 Smorgon Smorgon 3-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
02.07.2023 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 2-1 HT 1-1 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
07.11.2021 Smorgon Smorgon 1-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
18.06.2021 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 2-2 HT 1-1 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smorgon
0-2
AWAY Dinamo Brest
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Smorgon vs Dinamo Brest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Brest saw off Smorgon 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Brest as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Smorgon had 48% of the ball to Dinamo Brest's 52%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dinamo Brest led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Smorgon and 2.00 for Dinamo Brest.

What was the final score of Smorgon vs Dinamo Brest?

Smorgon 0-2 Dinamo Brest in the Belarus - Premier League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smorgon vs Dinamo Brest?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Smorgon 28%, draw 27%, Dinamo Brest 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Brest) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Brest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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