BATE Borisov 1-1 Naftan Novopolotsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.51
6+ Goals
12%
13.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
26%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.1pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.4pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk EU Bookmakers 23%
-21% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
1.82/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.15
+7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BATE Borisov
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-0 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
12.11.2023 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-7 HT 0-5 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
25.06.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-2 HT 1-1 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
25.10.2015 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 2-1 HT 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
22.06.2015 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 1-2 HT 0-2 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
09.11.2014 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 4-0 HT 3-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BATE Borisov
1-1
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BATE Borisov vs Naftan Novopolotsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BATE Borisov and Naftan Novopolotsk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was BATE Borisov at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, BATE Borisov had 59% of the ball to Naftan Novopolotsk's 41%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BATE Borisov had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for BATE Borisov and 0.67 for Naftan Novopolotsk.

What was the final score of BATE Borisov vs Naftan Novopolotsk?

BATE Borisov 1-1 Naftan Novopolotsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BATE Borisov vs Naftan Novopolotsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a BATE Borisov win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split BATE Borisov 47%, draw 29%, Naftan Novopolotsk 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BATE Borisov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BATE Borisov) ✓ BTTS Yes
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