Hadiya Hosaena 0-2 Mekelle Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
68%
Over
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.44
No Pick
70%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2-3
40%
4-5
14%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
45%
+8.2pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.9pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.3pp
30%
BTTS Yes
37%
-6.5pp
70%
BTTS No
63%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.50/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.62
+45% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +79%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
0-2
AWAY Mekelle Kenema
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelle Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mekelle Kenema got the better of Hadiya Hosaena 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Hadiya Hosaena at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (70%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hadiya Hosaena had 46% of the ball to Mekelle Kenema's 54%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelle Kenema?

Hadiya Hosaena 0-2 Mekelle Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelle Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hadiya Hosaena win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hadiya Hosaena 53%, draw 24%, Mekelle Kenema 23%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hadiya Hosaena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hadiya Hosaena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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