Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-1 Shire Endaselassie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
70%
1.52
Over
30%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.19
No
66%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
43%
2-3
38%
4-5
13%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.0pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.5pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.4pp
70%
Under 2.5
62%
+7.6pp
30%
Over 2.5
38%
-7.6pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.2pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Shire Endaselassie EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.00
-7% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Shire Endaselassie
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
4 Total Shots 2
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.02.2025 Shire Endaselassie Shire Endaselassie 1-0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1-1
AWAY Shire Endaselassie
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Shire Endaselassie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Shire Endaselassie couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 34% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

On the day, Welwalo Adigrat Uni had 53% of the ball to Shire Endaselassie's 47%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Shire Endaselassie?

Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-1 Shire Endaselassie in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Shire Endaselassie?

Before kick-off our model rated a Welwalo Adigrat Uni win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Welwalo Adigrat Uni 36%, draw 34%, Shire Endaselassie 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Welwalo Adigrat Uni), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ETH More Etiyopya - Premier League
13 Apr 2025
18:00 Hadiya Hosaena vs Mekelle Kenema Analysis →