13/04/2025
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Chabab Ben Guerir vs Mouloudia Oujda Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
77%
Over 2.5
23%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
30%
Draw
39%
38%
Away Win
22%
29%
BTTS Yes
37%
71%
BTTS No
63%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chabab Ben Guerir v Mouloudia Oujda — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chabab Ben Guerir
EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY
Mouloudia Oujda
EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% /
-14%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-16% /
-16%
0.75/0.61
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/0.99
-34%
/
+28%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+20%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
364 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
240 · 67%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
Chabab Ben Guerir vs Mouloudia Oujda Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Chabab Ben Guerir
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Mouloudia Oujda
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Chabab Ben Guerir vs Mouloudia Oujda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chabab Ben Guerir and Mouloudia Oujda shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (77%) landed while no to both teams scoring (71%) missed.
What was the final score of Chabab Ben Guerir vs Mouloudia Oujda?
Chabab Ben Guerir 1-1 Mouloudia Oujda in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chabab Ben Guerir vs Mouloudia Oujda?
Before kick-off our model rated an Mouloudia Oujda win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chabab Ben Guerir 32%, draw 30%, Mouloudia Oujda 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mouloudia Oujda), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Mouloudia Oujda)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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FAS2
More Morocco - Botola 2
13 Apr 2025