USM Oujda 0-2 Kawkab Marrakech — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
2.94
Draw
47%
2.58
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
78%
1.54
Over 2.5
22%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.29
No
69%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
36%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
32%
-8.7pp
47%
Draw
36%
+10.9pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.3pp
78%
Under 2.5
61%
+17.3pp
22%
Over 2.5
39%
-17.3pp
31%
BTTS Yes
40%
-8.3pp
69%
BTTS No
60%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Oujda EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawkab Marrakech EU Bookmakers 34%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.26/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.80
+20% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +40%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
257 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Oujda
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Kawkab Marrakech
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2 Corners 3
10.02.2024 USM Oujda 1-1 HT 0-1 Kawkab Marrakech Kawkab Marrakech FAS2
02.09.2023 Kawkab Marrakech Kawkab Marrakech 3-0 HT 0-0 USM Oujda FAS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Oujda
0-2
AWAY Kawkab Marrakech
45% Ball Possession 55%
2 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH USM Oujda vs Kawkab Marrakech
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawkab Marrakech beat USM Oujda 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (78%), no to both teams scoring (69%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, USM Oujda had 45% of the ball to Kawkab Marrakech's 55%, shots finished 2-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kawkab Marrakech led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for USM Oujda and 2.00 for Kawkab Marrakech.

What was the final score of USM Oujda vs Kawkab Marrakech?

USM Oujda 0-2 Kawkab Marrakech in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Oujda vs Kawkab Marrakech?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split USM Oujda 23%, draw 47%, Kawkab Marrakech 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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