Liverpool U21 1-1 Leeds United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
39%
4-5
26%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
56%
-14.3pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.3pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool U21 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.19/2.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.68
-52% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.9 Crosses 14.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool U21
1-1
AWAY Leeds United U21
48% Ball Possession 52%
28 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
15 Corners 6
307 Passes 358
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
35 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liverpool U21 vs Leeds United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool U21 and Leeds United U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool U21 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Liverpool U21 had 48% of the ball to Leeds United U21's 52%, shots finished 28-9.

What was the final score of Liverpool U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Liverpool U21 1-1 Leeds United U21 in the INGPL2 on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Liverpool U21 42%, draw 28%, Leeds United U21 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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