Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
12%
15.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +4%
1.68/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.14
+21% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
415 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.0 Crosses 20.2
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
25.06.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-2 HT 0-2 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
16.04.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-1 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
04.07.2015 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-1 HT 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
14.02.2015 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-0 HT 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto HAZ
19.10.2014 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-0 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
16.03.2014 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 3-1 HT 3-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
1-1
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
600 Passes 296
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jubilo Iwata and Roasso Kumamoto couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 64% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 36%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jubilo Iwata had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 0.50 for Roasso Kumamoto.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - J2 League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jubilo Iwata win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 40%, draw 25%, Roasso Kumamoto 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jubilo Iwata) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jubilo Iwata) ✓ BTTS Yes
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