Kataller Toyama 2-2 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.31
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 34%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +2%
0.53/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.13
-60% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
222 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 15.2
Yellow Cards 0.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
2-2
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 4
282 Passes 407
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama and Renofa Yamaguchi couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 44% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 56%, shots finished 13-16.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Kataller Toyama 2-2 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 39%, draw 30%, Renofa Yamaguchi 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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