Machida Zelvia 0-2 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.15
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.44
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
20%
4.9
X/2
6%
6.4
X/X
16%
3.71
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
13%
5.18
2/X
8%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.7pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
1.30/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.22
+4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
22.9 Crosses 16.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Machida Zelvia
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.39 xG 0.61
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
216 Passes 436
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-2 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
26.05.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-2 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
0-2
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
1.08 xG 0.70
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
411 Passes 322
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds beat Machida Zelvia 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Machida Zelvia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Machida Zelvia had 55% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 45%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.08 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Machida Zelvia and 1.50 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Machida Zelvia 0-2 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 42%, draw 32%, Urawa Red Diamonds 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Machida Zelvia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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