Union Magdalena 2-2 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Magdalena EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.12/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.18
-31% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
19.5 Crosses 13.0
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Magdalena
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 0.57
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
253 Passes 325
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-2 HT 0-1 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
12.04.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 0-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
17.10.2022 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
30.04.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-0 HT 2-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Magdalena
2-2
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.29 xG 0.38
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
403 Passes 195
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 6
21 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Magdalena vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Magdalena and Deportivo Pereira shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Union Magdalena at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Magdalena had 65% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 35%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.29 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Union Magdalena and 1.50 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Union Magdalena vs Deportivo Pereira?

Union Magdalena 2-2 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Magdalena vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Magdalena win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Union Magdalena 46%, draw 28%, Deportivo Pereira 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Magdalena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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