Deportivo Pasto 3-3 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.52
Over 2.5
29%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.4pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.7pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.6pp
71%
Under 2.5
62%
+8.6pp
29%
Over 2.5
38%
-8.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.3pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -7%
1.09/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.08
-17% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
18.6 Crosses 13.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Junior
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.87 xG 1.22
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
226 Passes 343
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.08.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
09.02.2024 Junior Junior 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
13.08.2023 Junior Junior 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
19.02.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
18.09.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-1 HT 1-1 Junior Junior KOL
26.03.2022 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
3-3
AWAY Junior
1.05 xG 1.10
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
215 Passes 384
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto and Junior shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 34% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 39% of the ball to Junior's 61%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.05 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 0.67 for Junior.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Junior?

Deportivo Pasto 3-3 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 37%, draw 34%, Junior 29%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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