Haras El Hodood 0-2 Zamalek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
53%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
23.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46 — our 35% vs market 33.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+7.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
53%
Away Win
63%
-9.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.6pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamalek EU Bookmakers 67%
+12% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
0.76/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.85
+42% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -19%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
247 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%
12.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
14.0 Crosses 19.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haras El Hodood
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Zamalek
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.17 xG 1.99
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
288 Passes 414
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.01.2025 Zamalek Zamalek 3-2 HT 3-1 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
13.04.2023 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-3 HT 0-2 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
20.12.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 4-0 HT 1-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
14.04.2021 Zamalek Zamalek 3-1 HT 1-1 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSRK
12.10.2020 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 1-2 HT 1-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
05.02.2020 Zamalek Zamalek 2-0 HT 2-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haras El Hodood
0-2
AWAY Zamalek
0.40 xG 1.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
251 Passes 274
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Haras El Hodood vs Zamalek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek saw off Haras El Hodood 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zamalek as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Haras El Hodood had 48% of the ball to Zamalek's 52%, shots finished 5-8, expected goals 0.40 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Haras El Hodood and 2.83 for Zamalek.

What was the final score of Haras El Hodood vs Zamalek?

Haras El Hodood 0-2 Zamalek in the Egypt - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haras El Hodood vs Zamalek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Haras El Hodood 22%, draw 25%, Zamalek 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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