Zamalek 3-2 Haras El Hodood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 16 Jan 2025

📅16/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.44
No
61%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.75
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.8
6+ Goals
9%
17.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 33% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.7pp
61%
BTTS No
63%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.48/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.45
-10% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
434 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 73%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
21.5 Crosses 13.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Haras El Hodood
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.64 xG 0.69
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
368 Passes 321
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2023 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-3 HT 0-2 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
20.12.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 4-0 HT 1-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
14.04.2021 Zamalek Zamalek 3-1 HT 1-1 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSRK
12.10.2020 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 1-2 HT 1-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
05.02.2020 Zamalek Zamalek 2-0 HT 2-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
17.12.2015 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-2 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
3-2
AWAY Haras El Hodood
3.03 xG 2.60
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
555 Passes 190
89% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs Haras El Hodood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek edged past Haras El Hodood 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zamalek as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zamalek had 69% of the ball to Haras El Hodood's 31%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 3.03 to 2.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Zamalek and 0.33 for Haras El Hodood.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs Haras El Hodood?

Zamalek 3-2 Haras El Hodood in the Egypt - Premier League on 16/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs Haras El Hodood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 56%, draw 24%, Haras El Hodood 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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