Al Masry 1-0 Pharco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 16 Jan 2025

📅16/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.02
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.48
Over 2.5
31%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.08
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
5.38
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
45%
-10.3pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.3pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+8.0pp
69%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.6pp
31%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.8pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Masry EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Pharco EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.09/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.09
-27% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
17.2 Crosses 13.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Masry
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Pharco
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.00 xG 0.77
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
312 Passes 256
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.08.2024 Pharco Pharco 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSRK
23.04.2024 Pharco Pharco 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
28.09.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 1-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
09.07.2023 Pharco Pharco 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
28.01.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 1-2 HT 0-2 Pharco Pharco MSR
13.07.2022 Al Masry Al Masry 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Masry
1-0
AWAY Pharco
0.98 xG 1.01
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
250 Passes 329
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Masry vs Pharco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Masry nicked a narrow win over Pharco 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 31%) promised a tight game; Al Masry found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Masry had 43% of the ball to Pharco's 57%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.98 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Masry had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Masry and 0.50 for Pharco.

What was the final score of Al Masry vs Pharco?

Al Masry 1-0 Pharco in the Egypt - Premier League on 16/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Masry vs Pharco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Al Masry 35%, draw 33%, Pharco 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Masry), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Masry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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