Pharco 1-2 Al Masry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 23 Apr 2024

Pharco
1-2 HT 0-1
Al Masry
📅23/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Egypt - Premier League – 2023/2024

Pharco vs Al Masry Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.75
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
29%
-2.5pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.3pp
42%
Away Win
42%
+0.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.2pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pharco v Al Masry — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pharco EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Masry EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
0.86/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.03
-15% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
14.5 Crosses 17.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Pharco vs Al Masry Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pharco
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Masry
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.71 xG 0.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
262 Passes 316
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.09.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 1-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
09.07.2023 Pharco Pharco 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
28.01.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 1-2 HT 0-2 Pharco Pharco MSR
13.07.2022 Al Masry Al Masry 0-0 HT 0-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
20.12.2021 Pharco Pharco 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR

Pharco 1-2 Al Masry — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pharco
1-2
AWAY Al Masry
2.05 xG 1.28
49% Ball Possession 51%
22 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 5
283 Passes 291
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pharco vs Al Masry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Masry edged past Pharco 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Masry as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pharco had 49% of the ball to Al Masry's 51%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.05 to 1.28 — the balance of chances actually favoured Pharco.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Masry led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Pharco and 1.20 for Al Masry.

What was the final score of Pharco vs Al Masry?

Pharco 1-2 Al Masry in the Egypt - Premier League on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pharco vs Al Masry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pharco 26%, draw 32%, Al Masry 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Masry) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Masry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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